In this article, we will be taking a look at the 8 latest stock picks in activist investor Paul Singer's portfolio. To skip our detailed analysis of these stocks and Singer's investment insights, you can go directly to see Activist Investor Paul Singer's 5 Latest Stock Picks.
Once dubbed 'the world's most feared investor', Paul Elliot Singer is the founder, president and co-CEO of Elliott Management. Known for his high-profile, and often combative, deal-making, his hedge fund has a reputation for seeking out and successfully exploiting market weakness. Having started Elliott Management in 1977, after a brief stint in corporate law, with $1.3 million in seed capital, Singer’s market ventures have been consistently successful, with average annual returns of almost 14%. Although the 78-year-old is not as flashy or public as activists such as Carl Icahn, his corporate ventures have spanned sectors from technology and telecommunications to entertainment, and energy, helping him amass a fortune worth roughly $4.3 billion, alongside a spot on the list of the richest people according to Forbes.
Elliott Management, since the day it was founded, has been focused on distressed securities. While it started as a hedge fund focusing on convertible arbitrage, Paul Singer slowly steered the fund’s focus toward companies and later countries facing financial trouble. In the 1990s, Paul Singer’s firm bought up troubled sovereign debt from countries including Peru and Argentina that brought in multi-million-dollar repayments. These methods, which sometimes included corporate debt plays, earned him the title of “doomsday investor” in a 2018 article by The New Yorker magazine. A more recent excursion came March this year amidst the chaos on the nickel market on March 8, 11 days after the outbreak of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, where the activist fund founded by Paul Singer claimed more than $450 million in damages from the London Metal Exchange for having used an illegal method intended to interrupt trade.
Singer, who was born and raised in New Jersey, and studied psychology at the University of Rochester before getting a J.D. from the Harvard Law School in 1969, has been credited among those who accurately predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis — a period where he made significant profits from credit default swaps that bet leveraged companies would crash.
At the end of June, Singer's Elliot Management reported managing $8.67 billion in its investment portfolio. The fund liquidated all of its holdings in 10 companies and reduced its stake in 4 companies. In contrast, the fund made 9 additions to its portfolio while increasing its stakes in 11 different names. Elliot Management's top 10 holdings at the end of the second quarter included names like Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC), Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) and Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE:SU).
Activist Investor Paul Singer's 8 Latest Stock Picks
Paul Singer of Elliott Management
Our Methodology
The following data is gathered from Elliott Management’s latest 13F filing with the SEC. At Insider Monkey, we track the portfolios of about 895 hedge funds as of the close of the second quarter of 2022. For this article, we selected the 8 stocks that Paul Singer added to Elliott Management’s most recent 13F filing with the SEC for the quarter ending June 30.
Activist Investor Paul Singer's 8 Latest Stock Picks
Percentage of Elliott Management’s 13F Portfolio: 0.61%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 43
Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) is an American computer hard disk drive manufacturer and data storage company that designs, manufactures and sells data technology products, including storage devices, data center systems and cloud storage services. The company sells its products under the following brands: Western Digital, G-Technology, SanDisk and WD. According to Elliot Management’s 13F filings, the fund owned 1.18 million shares of Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) worth $53.1 million at the end of Q2 2022, representing 0.61% of the investment firm's portfolio.
On September 19, Barclays analyst Tom O'Malley lowered the price target on Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) to $40 from $55 and kept an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The analyst lowered global hard disk drive unit forecasts for both this year and next to reflect continued consumer weakness. Despite the overall weakness, the analyst believes that pricing has held up, which is a reflection of mix shift to nearline. However, while this is a near-term positive, O'Malley thinks that this is unlikely to persist.
According to the company’s Q4 earnings report released on August 5, Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) recorded earnings per share of $1.78, beating market estimates by $0.06. Additionally, the company’s revenue for the quarter came in at $4.53 billion.
At the close of Q2 2022, 43 hedge funds were bullish on Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC). These funds held collective stakes worth $894.4 million in the company. This is compared to 45 positions in the previous quarter with stakes of $1.03 billion. Lyrical Asset Management was the most significant shareholder in Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) at the end of Q2, with a stake value of $177.15 million.
Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC), Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) and Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE:SU) are some of the significant names along with Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) that Paul Singer added to his portfolio.
7. Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO)
Elliott Management’s Stake Value: $33 million
Percentage of Elliott Management’s 13F Portfolio: 0.38%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 66
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO) is an American video game holding company that operates as a developer, publisher, and marketer of interactive entertainment for consumers around the globe. Based in New York City, it owns two major publishing labels, Rockstar Games and 2K, which operate internal game development studios. The stock was a new addition to Paul Singer's Q2 2022 portfolio. His hedge fund held a stake worth approximately $33 million by the close of the quarter.
According to BofA analyst Omar Dessouky, the leaked footage of Grand Theft Auto 6 is "slightly negative" for shares of Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO) because it provides further proof that the game is still not ready for a 2023 release. Additionally, Dessouky suggests that valuable intellectual property from Rockstar may have been stolen in the leaks as well. He kept a Neutral rating on the shares of the company, alongside a $130 price target.
As of Q2 2022, 66 of the 895 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were bullish on Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO), holding shares worth $2 billion. Simon Sadler’s Segantii Capital was the largest shareholder with ownership of 23,500 shares valued at $287.94 million.
Here is what Madison Funds specifically said about Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO) in its Q2 2022 investor letter:
“Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO) is a leading publisher of video games. Take-Two has a reputation for the high quality of its games, having published industry favorites such as Grand Theft Auto and NBA2K.
6. Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ:PSNY)
Elliott Management’s Stake Value: $13.8 million
Percentage of Elliott Management’s 13F Portfolio: 0.15%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 12
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ:PSNY) is a holding company for the Swedish automotive brand Polestar, which was established in 1996 by Volvo Cars' partner Polestar Racing, and acquired in 2015 by Volvo. The electric vehicle maker delivered 21,185 cars during the first six months of 2022 vs. 9,510 for the same period in 2021, while its gross profit increased 49% for the period as the result of higher sales of Polestar 2, partially offset by product and market mix. Activist investor Paul Singer reported holding roughly 1.56 million PSNY shares at the close of Q2 2022, worth around $13.8 million.
Earlier this August, Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner initiated coverage of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ:PSNY) with a Hold rating and $10 price target. The analyst believes Polestar's key strength lies in its "intimate partnership" with Geely and Volvo, which created an asset-light business model, thus reducing manufacturing and supply risk, and ultimately allowing the company to focus on design, expansion and brand building. The analyst adds that Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ:PSNY), unlike many other start-ups, has already delivered more than 50,000 vehicles worldwide since its start of production the previous year.
On August 16, Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ:PSNY) confirmed plans to put the Polestar electric roadster concept into production. The production car is expected to launch in 2026 as the Polestar 6 electric performance roadster. Previously revealed in March, the electric roadster concept builds on the design and technology laid out by the Polestar Precept.
Alongside Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC), Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) and Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE:SU), Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ:PSNY) is a stock held by Paul Singer’s Elliot Management at the end of the second quarter.