Chip stocks rally as TSMC forecasts strong AI demand for 'many years'

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Several chipmaker stocks rallied on Thursday amid optimism over AI demand in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company's (TSM) blowout third quarter earnings.

After underperforming the broader market earlier this week, the PHLX Semiconductor (^SOX) Index gained 1.8% Thursday as of midday trading, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up about 0.1%.

AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose as much as 3%, at one point touching an all-time intraday high, as investors responded to TSMC's positive sentiment about artificial intelligence. Nvidia's rival Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) jumped 1.3% before paring gains. Chipmaker Qualcomm (QCOM) rose up to 1.7%, and semiconductor firm Broadcom (AVGO) climbed 3.5%. US-listed TSMC shares rose 11%, pushing the company's market capitalization past the $1 trillion mark.

When asked whether there is an AI bubble during a call with analysts, TSMC CEO C.C. Wei said: “We believe the AI demand is real, and it will continue for many years.”

TSMC manufactures artificial intelligence chips designed by Nvidia and its rival Advanced Micro Devices, and those chips are used in data centers to power AI software such as ChatGPT and other popular bots. TSMC on Thursday reported third-quarter profits 54% higher than last year and lifted its full year sales outlook. The raised guidance was largely driven by “extremely robust AI-related demand,” Wei said. The chip manufacturer expects AI revenue to more than triple in 2024.

TSMC is one of three companies capable of manufacturing AI chips that have been crucial to the massive wave of AI innovation following the launch of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in 2022. The Taiwanese company dominates rivals Samsung (005930.KS) and Intel (INTC) in the AI semiconductor market. Aside from Nvidia and AMD, major TSMC customers include Apple (AAPL), Qualcomm, and Broadcom.

TSMC’s sunny third quarter earnings report and executives' commentary on artificial intelligence are welcome signs for angsty investors worried over the future of the AI space. Wall Street analysts have signaled concerns in recent months over the lack of a near-term return on investment for Big Tech firms spending massive sums on AI infrastructure. The worry is that tech companies could ease spending on AI hardware, causing a downturn in shares of companies like Nvidia and its supplier TSMC.

REUTERS/Ann Wang/File Photo
The optimism over AI demand in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company's blowout third quarter earnings boosted chip stocks. (REUTERS/Ann Wang/File Photo) · Reuters / Reuters

Those fears were on display earlier this week, when an AI equipment company’s woes prompted a rout in global chip stocks. Dutch tech giant ASML (ASME.DE) indicated in its third quarter earnings release this week that sales of its machines — which are used by TSMC to make Nvidia’s leading AI chips — would ease. Though ASML’s results were driven by geopolitical concerns and other factors unrelated to the AI chip market, easily-spooked investors sold off shares of Nvidia, AMD, and AVGO, with the stocks suffering sharp declines.