What Does Rivalry Corp.'s (CVE:RVLY) Share Price Indicate?

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While Rivalry Corp. (CVE:RVLY) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TSXV, rising to highs of CA$1.13 and falling to the lows of CA$0.73. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Rivalry's current trading price of CA$0.76 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Rivalry’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Rivalry

Is Rivalry Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 10% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Rivalry today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth CA$0.85, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Rivalry’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Rivalry generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 74% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Rivalry. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in RVLY’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on RVLY, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.