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Fortis(TSX:FTS) is navigating a period of growth and strategic investments, underscored by its commitment to renewable energy and a strong dividend track record. However, the company faces challenges such as higher corporate costs and potential overvaluation. In the discussion that follows, we will explore Fortis's core strengths, critical issues, growth opportunities, and key risks to provide a comprehensive overview of its current business situation.

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TSX:FTS Share price vs Value as at Sep 2024
TSX:FTS Share price vs Value as at Sep 2024

Strengths: Core Advantages Driving Sustained Success For Fortis

Fortis has demonstrated strong operational and financial performance, as highlighted by David Hutchens, President and CEO, who noted the company's consistent results from regulated utilities. The company’s capital investments are on track, with $1.1 billion invested in the first quarter alone, supporting a $4.8 billion capital plan for 2024. Additionally, Fortis has a strong growth outlook, with opportunities to expand and extend its plans. The company has a remarkable track record of increasing dividends for 50 consecutive years, with a 4% to 6% annual dividend growth guidance through 2028. The rate base is expected to grow by $12 billion to over $49 billion by 2028, supporting an average annual rate base growth of 6.3%. The recent release of the 2024 Climate Report underscores Fortis's commitment to mitigating climate-related impacts.

Weaknesses: Critical Issues Affecting Fortis's Performance and Areas For Growth

Fortis faces higher corporate costs, which tempered regulated utility growth. Jocelyn Perry, Executive VP and CFO, highlighted that the disposition of Aitken Creek impacted EPS by $0.03 in the quarter. Performance issues in Arizona, such as higher depreciation and operating costs, and lower retail revenue due to milder weather, also posed challenges. The company's share price is currently above the estimated fair value, indicating it may be overvalued compared to its peers and the industry average. Fortis's Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 19.1x is higher than the peer average of 18.6x, further suggesting potential overvaluation.

Opportunities: Potential Strategies for Leveraging Growth and Competitive Advantage

Fortis has significant opportunities for growth, particularly in renewable energy. With $7 billion earmarked for cleaner energy investments, the company plans to interconnect renewables to the grid and invest in renewable generation and energy storage in Arizona. The data center load growth in ITC Midwest, with Google's plans for a new data center coming online in 2026, presents another growth avenue. Regulatory developments, such as the BCUC's approval of FortisBC's renewable natural gas application, also offer potential benefits. Additionally, the MISO's draft tranche two portfolio release is viewed as a promising step forward for investment opportunities within ITC's footprint.