Should You Investigate Thinkific Labs Inc. (TSE:THNC) At CA$3.73?

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Thinkific Labs Inc. (TSE:THNC), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the TSX. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Thinkific Labs’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Thinkific Labs

What Is Thinkific Labs Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 13.40% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Thinkific Labs today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is CA$3.29, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Thinkific Labs’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Thinkific Labs generate?

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Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Thinkific Labs, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the upcoming, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, THNC appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on THNC for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on THNC should the price fluctuate below its true value.