There May Be Reason For Hope In Kforce's (NYSE:KFRC) Disappointing Earnings

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The most recent earnings report from Kforce Inc. (NYSE:KFRC) was disappointing for shareholders. However, our analysis suggests that the soft headline numbers are getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

View our latest analysis for Kforce

earnings-and-revenue-history
earnings-and-revenue-history

Examining Cashflow Against Kforce's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Kforce has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$77m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$51.4m. Kforce shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Kforce's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Kforce has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Kforce's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Kforce at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that Kforce has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore this.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kforce's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.