PagerDuty (NYSE:PD) shareholders have endured a 56% loss from investing in the stock three years ago
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If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the long term shareholders of PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE:PD) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 56% decline in the share price in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 20% in the last three months.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
View our latest analysis for PagerDuty
Because PagerDuty made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
Over three years, PagerDuty grew revenue at 20% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. That contrasts with the weak share price, which has fallen 16% compounded, over three years. To be frank we're surprised to see revenue growth and share price growth diverge so strongly. So this is one stock that might be worth investigating further, or even adding to your watchlist.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
PagerDuty is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
A Different Perspective
Investors in PagerDuty had a tough year, with a total loss of 18%, against a market gain of about 36%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand PagerDuty better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that PagerDuty is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...