Have you been paying attention to shares of Progressive (PGR)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 16.3% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $254.35 in the previous session. Progressive has gained 58.3% since the start of the year compared to the 17.4% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 31.7% return for the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 16, 2024, Progressive reported EPS of $2.65 versus consensus estimate of $1.99 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 1.35%.

For the current fiscal year, Progressive is expected to post earnings of $12.20 per share on $73.58 billion in revenues. This represents a 99.67% change in EPS on a 19.15% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $12.85 per share on $83.73 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 5.31% and 13.79%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Progressive may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Progressive has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 20.7X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is a premium to the peer industry average of 13.5X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 37.2X versus its peer group's average of 13.8X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.83. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Progressive currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.