Supply chain woes have no quick fix, so stock up on patience for the holidays

Fortune · Noam Galai - Getty Images

The supply chain is broken, and it’s not getting better any time soon. You can’t find that new Ford F-150 truck or that Barbie doll for a holiday present. And if you do, it is going to cost you more than it would have last year.

Companies–and even the government-–can’t do much in the short term, certainly not before the holiday season. But they can do much to improve things next year and even more the next. This year, we need to begin that process to fix the biggest problems currently facing the supply chain: the shortages of truck drivers, cargo containers, and semiconductors.

And shoppers better pack their patience.

Supply chains include all the ships, planes, trains, trucks, ports, and railheads needed for transport. One problem is that there are not enough truck drivers nationwide. Alongside the obvious problem of being unable to move enough products from points A to B in the U.S., there are knock-on effects. For example, ports are clogged because they’ve run out of space to unload cargo. To clear the backlog, the government’s Supply Chain Disruptions Task Force said that ports would adopt 24/7 operations, but that round-the-clock mandate doesn’t apply to truck drivers because there are not enough of them to make 24/7 happen. They are the people who actually move the offloaded cargo away from the ports.

There is a disconnect.

To fix this, companies must improve truck driving as a profession. Pay has been declining in real terms for decades, and the job is stressful. So, companies such as Sysco, Coca-Cola, Wal-Mart, Penske, and UPS need to make truck driving more attractive. Increasing pay is a good start. They can afford it. The cost to move cargo by truck has risen 50% to 500%. However, it’s a medium-term fix because it takes months to train and certify a driver.

Another problem is containers. A popular Facebook meme says “American goods don’t get stuck on ships,” but even if consumers buy American to avoid long trans-Pacific shipping delays, many American-made goods such as Peterbilt trucks cannot be made without parts from overseas. Even when ports were briefly unclogged this summer, there still weren’t enough containers. And when a company could find them, the price had increased by up to 800%.

In other words, it now takes $2 more to ship a toy from Asia to the U.S. than it did before the pandemic. High-profit products such as electronics and designer clothes can afford to pay more for the limited cargo space than low-profit products like plastic toys or bulky ones like furniture. And the shortage of truck drivers is also just as much a problem for moving around U.S.-made goods as it is for those from overseas.