Tenaz Energy's (TSE:TNZ) Earnings Aren't As Good As They Appear

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Tenaz Energy Corp.'s (TSE:TNZ) stock rose after it released a robust earnings report. While the headline numbers were strong, we found some underlying problems once we started looking at what drove earnings.

Check out our latest analysis for Tenaz Energy

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Examining Cashflow Against Tenaz Energy's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Tenaz Energy recorded an accrual ratio of 0.83. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CA$25.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CA$24m in the last year. We also note that Tenaz Energy's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CA$24m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Tenaz Energy's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CA$15m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Tenaz Energy had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.