UK economy flatlines for a second month in a row

UK economic growth flatlined once again in July, with data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showing gross domestic product (GDP) did not see any month-on-month growth, having also flatlined in June.

This came in below expectations of 0.3% month-on-month growth, according to a research note from Deutsche Bank released on Monday.

The services sector grew 0.1% in July but both production and construction fell by 0.8% and 0.4% respectively.

Figures released last month showed the economy expanded by 0.6% in the second quarter, after having grown 0.7% in the first three months of the year.

GDP is the measure of everything produced in the UK.

Liz McKeown, the ONS director of economic statistics, said: "July's monthly services growth was led by computer programmers and health, which recovered from strike action in June."

"These gains were partially offset by falls for advertising companies, architects and engineers."

At the end of last year, the UK economy fell into a shallow and short-lived recession. A recession is defined as economic activity shrinking for two three-month periods — or quarters — in a row.

The data comes ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) meeting next Thursday, when it will share its latest interest rate decision. Markets have been pricing in that the central bank will keep rates on hold in September, but will continue on a gradual path of easing, with two cuts anticipated before the end of the year.

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, said that the ONS data would "reinforce expectations for two rate cuts in the months to come, but the jury is still very much out when it comes to next week’s decision."

"Financial markets have been assessing the chance that rates will be kept on hold as above 75%, so this data point alone is unlikely to move the dial significantly."

Read more: UK interest rates could be cut again as wage growth slows

The BoE cut the base rate to 5% in August from a 16-year high of 5.25% in its first cut since March 2020.