Fed decision: Why investors aren't expecting 'fireworks'

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The Federal Reserve is set to announce its rate decision Wednesday afternoon, with markets anticipating three rate cuts. Macro Institute Chief Investment Strategist Brian Nick and F/m Investments President and CIO Alex Morris join Yahoo Finance Live to discuss their outlook on the Fed's decision.

Nick notes markets and the Fed are "aligned," meaning expectations of three rate cuts have already been priced into the market, resulting in "not that many fireworks" following tomorrow's announcement. The strategist suggests that markets are headed towards "the longest Fed fund rate plateau," so investors are looking for a potential "break in the economy."

Morris believes rates will be held steady, although he "wouldn't be surprised" if there were outlying factors that pushed the Fed to implement fewer rate cuts instead. However, he believes "the odds of that are low." He notes that the timing of rate cuts is uncertain; however, with the presidential election coming in November, he highlights that "the Fed is politically aware," seeking to avoid cuts or spikes appearing to "favor" any presidential candidate or party.

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live.

Editor's note: This article was written by Angel Smith

Video Transcript

[AUDIO LOGO]

JOSH LIPTON: With just over 10 minutes left until the closing bell on Wall Street, we're looking at how to navigate the big picture with the Yahoo Finance playbook. Today we're taking a closer look at how the Fed could impact your portfolio and what's driving the broader market rally.

MADISON MILLS: Yes, we're highlighting expectations for the Fed's March meeting. And what that means for your investment decisions now and looking ahead?

Joining us now is F/m Investments President and Chief Investment Officer Alex Morris, and Macro institute Chief Investment Strategist Brian Nick. Thank you both for joining us. And, Brian, I want to start with you.

Obviously, all eyes on the Federal Reserve. And their interest rate decision tomorrow. But I do think the biggest focus is going to be on that dot plot. So what are your expectations for that?

BRIAN NICK: So this might be a weird Fed meeting and that the markets and the Fed are relatively aligned coming into it, which is not usually been the case. The market's been looking for the Fed to make pivots here and there in the last couple of meetings. I think this one the market, and the Fed are both expecting kind of the same thing as the last time we've heard from them.

And the Fed speak since the January meeting. It doesn't indicate we're going to be getting a much different message on inflation or on the unemployment outlook. So my base case is that we're going to continue to see expectations baked in and the Fed dot plot for three rate cuts this year. That's about what the market's expecting to which means potentially not that many fireworks after the announcement tomorrow.