The labor market has been more resilient than ever. On October 4, Gary Cohn, the IBM vice chairman, and former US National Economic Council director in the Trump administration, appeared in an interview on Yahoo Finance to discuss the job report and the US economy.
Cohn suggests that the jobs data is the least scientific information the government puts out and therefore, it must be taken with a grain of salt. However, he emphasizes the importance of understanding trends. The number of people entering the workforce is expanding and jobs are being created, deducing that the market is in a neutral place.
Cohn believes that the US economy is normalizing. He reveals that we have not lived in a normal economy in over a decade, therefore, relative to history, the status quo is fairly reasonable. He adds that the Fed has orchestrated a soft landing and expects another 50 basis point cut before the end of 2024, which according to him is still restrictive.
Portfolio Manager Highlights High Growth Sectors
As the AI flame starts to settle, the market may be up for a major shift. On October 7, Keith Buchanan, GLOBALT Investments senior portfolio manager, appeared in an interview on Yahoo Finance to discuss his expectations of the market.
Expectations for earnings have been revised from mid-single digits to mid-double digitals, promising robust growth as 2024 comes to a close. Buchanan suggests that most of the growth comes from artificial intelligence and the widening of earnings growth beyond traditional growth sectors like technology.
This year, the industrial and energy sectors have enjoyed greater returns capturing a large chunk of the market. Buchanan is highly bullish on AI plays and value stocks. He also adds that names in financials, industrials, and consumer discretionary are poised for growth ahead of 2024. He advises investors to consider geopolitical events before making any investment decisions.
Now that we have assessed the future of the financial markets and possible sectors eyeing growth, let’s take a look at the 10 most promising long-term stocks according to hedge funds.
Our Methodology
To find the most promising long-term stocks according to hedge funds, we went over multiple rankings over the internet to list long-term blue chip stocks. We then examined the analyst upside and the hedge fund sentiment of these stocks as of Q2 2024 and picked the most popular ones. The stocks are sorted in ascending order of the number of hedge fund holders as of Q2 2024 as a primary metric and analyst upside as of October 13, as a secondary metric.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) ranks first on our list of the most promising long-term stocks according to hedge funds. The technology company is an e-commerce giant that also provides streaming and data cloud services.
The company launched its e-commerce platform in 1994 and is now close to capturing 40% of the market in the United States. Amazon Web Services (AWS), its proprietary cloud service, reported an 18.8% revenue growth during the second quarter of 2024.
This year, the company achieved significant milestones. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) has not only been actively involved in the development of AI hardware and software but has also signed partnerships with the government and AI startups. Speaking of innovation, on October 11, the company launched its first autonomous robot, Proteus. The autonomous robot fulfills miscellaneous tasks in the Amazon fulfillment centers independently and safely.
On the artificial intelligence front, AWS is housing the next generation of Llama models from Meta, enabling customers to build and deploy AI applications freely. In addition to that, the company also launched an AI personal assistant in September that helps Amazon sellers meet the unique needs of their customers.
Overall, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is poised to become a complete artificial intelligence company as it adapts to autonomous technologies and AI-backed systems, contributing to its ranking on our list.
Diamond Hill Select Strategy stated the following regarding Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Among our top individual contributors in Q2 were Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Texas Instruments and Mr. Cooper Group. Internet retail and cloud infrastructure company Amazon is benefiting from strong profitability, particularly in its Amazon Web Services (AWS) business. Shares also received a boost amid growing optimism around the demand for AWS as Amazon customers’ investments in generative AI projects continue growing.”
Overall AMZN ranks 1st on our list of the most promising long-term stocks according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of AMZN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AMZN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
