There May Be Reason For Hope In Solution Dynamics' (NZSE:SDL) Disappointing Earnings

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Solution Dynamics Limited's (NZSE:SDL) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

Check out our latest analysis for Solution Dynamics

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earnings-and-revenue-history

Examining Cashflow Against Solution Dynamics' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2024, Solution Dynamics had an accrual ratio of -0.51. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of NZ$3.3m, well over the NZ$2.82m it reported in profit. Solution Dynamics' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Solution Dynamics.

Our Take On Solution Dynamics' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Solution Dynamics produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Solution Dynamics' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 38% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Solution Dynamics, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Solution Dynamics has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Solution Dynamics' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.