Reflecting On Home Construction Materials Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Trex (NYSE:TREX)

TREX Cover Image
Reflecting On Home Construction Materials Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Trex (NYSE:TREX)

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As the Q2 earnings season wraps, let’s dig into this quarter’s best and worst performers in the home construction materials industry, including Trex (NYSE:TREX) and its peers.

Traditionally, home construction materials companies have built economic moats with expertise in specialized areas, brand recognition, and strong relationships with contractors. More recently, advances to address labor availability and job site productivity have spurred innovation that is driving incremental demand. However, these companies are at the whim of residential construction volumes, which tend to be cyclical and can be impacted heavily by economic factors such as interest rates. Additionally, the costs of raw materials can be driven by a myriad of worldwide factors and greatly influence the profitability of home construction materials companies.

The 12 home construction materials stocks we track reported a slower Q2. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 2.4% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 22.9% below.

Inflation progressed towards the Fed's 2% goal recently, leading the Fed to reduce its policy rate by 50bps (half a percent or 0.5%) in September 2024. This is the first cut in four years. While CPI (inflation) readings have been supportive lately, employment measures have bordered on worrisome. The markets will be debating whether this rate cut's timing (and more potential ones in 2024 and 2025) is ideal for supporting the economy or a bit too late for a macro that has already cooled too much.

Thankfully, home construction materials stocks have been resilient with share prices up 6.4% on average since the latest earnings results.

Trex (NYSE:TREX)

Addressing the demand for aesthetically-pleasing and unique outdoor living spaces, Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) makes wood-alternative decking, railing, and patio furniture.

Trex reported revenues of $376.5 million, up 5.6% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 2.9%. Overall, it was a softer quarter for the company with revenue guidance for next quarter missing analysts’ expectations.

“Second quarter sales increased at a mid-single-digit rate led by our premium products, including Trex Transcend? Lineage and Trex Signature? decking, where sell-through continued to track at a double-digit rate and contractor lead-times averaged six to eight weeks,” said Bryan Fairbanks, President and CEO.

Trex Total Revenue
Trex Total Revenue

Trex delivered the weakest full-year guidance update of the whole group. Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 8.8% since reporting and currently trades at $69.81.