Strong week for BlackLine (NASDAQ:BL) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of three-year loss

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While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the BlackLine, Inc. (NASDAQ:BL) share price has gained 14% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. Regrettably, the share price slid 58% in that period. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$150m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for BlackLine

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

BlackLine became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

Revenue is actually up 16% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching BlackLine more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. If you are thinking of buying or selling BlackLine stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

Investors in BlackLine had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.6%, against a market gain of about 30%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.5%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand BlackLine better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BlackLine (1 is a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.