We're Hopeful That Erdene Resource Development (TSE:ERD) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, Erdene Resource Development (TSE:ERD) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 109%. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Erdene Resource Development shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Erdene Resource Development

When Might Erdene Resource Development Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at June 2024, Erdene Resource Development had cash of CA$3.0m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CA$3.1m. That means it had a cash runway of around 12 months as of June 2024. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
debt-equity-history-analysis

How Is Erdene Resource Development's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Erdene Resource Development didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. We'd venture that the 66% reduction in cash burn over the last year shows that management are, at least, mindful of its ongoing need for cash. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Erdene Resource Development due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can Erdene Resource Development Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt Erdene Resource Development's rapidly reducing cash burn brings comfort, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund further growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).