Jobless claims surge to highest level since August 2023

Weekly jobless claims rose more than expected last week in a sign of cooling in the labor market.

New data from the Department of Labor showed 258,000 initial jobless claims were filed in the week ending Oct. 5, up from 225,000 the week prior and above the 230,000 economists had expected. This marked the highest number of weekly unemployment claims since August 2023.

Meanwhile, the number of continuing applications for unemployment benefits hit 1.86 million, up by 42,000 from the week prior.

The report comes despite a blowout September jobs report that was released just six days prior. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Friday showed the labor market added 254,000 payrolls in September, higher than the 150,000 expected by economists. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2% in August.

Also out on Thursday, a closely watched report on US inflation showed consumer price increases ticked lower on an annual basis during the month of September, but "core" prices remained sticky, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Thursday morning.

"I think the Fed has shifted the goalposts," Yardeni Research chief markets strategist Eric Wallerstein told Yahoo Finance. "They're much more focused on the labor market."

Following the two releases, markets quickly moved to price in less of a chance the Fed doesn't cut interest rates at its November meeting. Traders now see a 14% chance that the Fed holds rates steady in November, down from the nearly 20% chance seen the day prior, per the CME FedWatch Tool.

Unemployment papers held in hand, photo
Unemployment papers held in hand, photo (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X @_joshschafer.

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