Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated Third Quarter 2024 Results, October 2024 Monthly Dividend and September 30, 2024 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

In this article:
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
  • October 2024 Monthly Dividend of $0.12 Per Share of Common Stock

  • Estimated Book Value Per Share as of September 30, 2024 of $8.40

  • Estimated GAAP net income of $0.24 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, including an estimated $0.29 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments

  • Estimated 2.1% total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2024

  • Estimated book value, net income and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm

  • RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of September 30, 2024

  • Next Dividend Announcement Expected November 13, 2024

VERO BEACH, Fla., Oct. 16, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of October 2024. The dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid November 27, 2024 to holders of record of the Company’s common stock on October 31, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of October 31, 2024. The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend on November 13, 2024.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of October 16, 2024, the Company had 78,414,645 shares of common stock outstanding. As of September 30, 2024, the Company had 78,082,645 shares of common stock outstanding. As of June 30, 2024, the Company had 64,824,374 shares of common stock outstanding.

Estimated September 30, 2024 Book Value Per Share

The Company’s estimated book value per share as of September 30, 2024 was $8.40.  The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At September 30, 2024, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $656.0 million with 78,082,645 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated a net income per share of $0.24 for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, which includes an estimated $0.29 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share.  Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income.  The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.

Estimated Total Return on Equity

The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2024 was 2.1%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter.  The total return was $0.18 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.18 from June 30, 2024.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of September 30, 2024 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm:

  • RMBS Valuation Characteristics

  • RMBS Assets by Agency

  • Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results

  • Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty

  • RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023.

RMBS Valuation Characteristics

 

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized

 

 

Jul -24 -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sep-24

 

 

Sep-24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

CPR

 

 

CPR

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

(1-Month)

 

 

(3-Month)

 

 

Modeled Interest

 

 

 

Current

 

Fair

 

% of

 

 

Current

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maturity

 

(Reported

 

 

(Reported

 

 

Rate Sensitivity (1)

 

Type

 

Face

 

Value

 

Portfolio

 

 

Price

 

Coupon

 

 

GWAC

 

 

Age

 

(Months)

 

in Oct)

 

 

in Oct)

 

 

(-50 BPS)

 

 

(+50 BPS)

 

Fixed Rate RMBS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30yr 3.0

 

 

1,313,569

 

 

1,192,650

 

21.91

%

 

90.79

 

3.00

%

 

3.46

%

 

42

 

312

 

4.9

%

 

6.4

%

 

 

36,156

 

 

 

(37,050

)

30yr 3.5

 

 

180,159

 

 

170,463

 

3.13

%

 

94.62

 

3.50

%

 

4.04

%

 

55

 

293

 

7.3

%

 

8.6

%

 

 

4,631

 

 

 

(4,728

)

30yr 4.0

 

 

534,812

 

 

515,427

 

9.47

%

 

96.38

 

4.00

%

 

4.64

%

 

68

 

285

 

3.2

%

 

4.6

%

 

 

11,715

 

 

 

(12,733

)

30yr 4.5

 

 

312,192

 

 

308,236

 

5.66

%

 

98.73

 

4.50

%

 

5.44

%

 

27

 

330

 

5.5

%

 

6.8

%

 

 

5,377

 

 

 

(6,191

)

30yr 5.0

 

 

517,497

 

 

518,746

 

9.53

%

 

100.24

 

5.00

%

 

5.93

%

 

25

 

330

 

7.9

%

 

7.0

%

 

 

7,905

 

 

 

(9,531

)

30yr 5.5

 

 

259,123

 

 

265,083

 

4.87

%

 

102.30

 

5.50

%

 

6.43

%

 

18

 

338

 

3.3

%

 

5.8

%

 

 

3,498

 

 

 

(4,475

)

30yr 6.0

 

 

1,248,052

 

 

1,287,954

 

23.66

%

 

103.20

 

6.00

%

 

6.98

%

 

9

 

347

 

11.7

%

 

9.5

%

 

 

8,892

 

 

 

(12,035

)

30yr 6.5

 

 

776,146

 

 

806,065

 

14.81

%

 

103.85

 

6.50

%

 

7.43

%

 

9

 

348

 

15.8

%

 

11.9

%

 

 

5,418

 

 

 

(7,020

)

30yr 7.0

 

 

346,282

 

 

362,445

 

6.66

%

 

104.67

 

7.00

%

 

7.94

%

 

11

 

343

 

22.4

%

 

22.7

%

 

 

2,291

 

 

 

(2,777

)

30yr Total

 

 

5,487,832

 

 

5,427,069

 

99.71

%

 

98.89

 

4.94

%

 

5.72

%

 

27

 

327

 

9.3

%

 

8.8

%

 

 

85,883

 

 

 

(96,540

)

Total Pass Through RMBS

 

 

5,487,832

 

 

5,427,069

 

99.71

%

 

98.89

 

4.94

%

 

5.72

%

 

27

 

327

 

9.3

%

 

8.8

%

 

 

85,883

 

 

 

(96,540

)

Structured RMBS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IO 20yr 4.0

 

 

7,414

 

 

693

 

0.01

%

 

9.35

 

4.00

%

 

4.57

%

 

153

 

81

 

11.0

%

 

11.5

%

 

 

3

 

 

 

(4

)

IO 30yr 3.0

 

 

2,690

 

 

376

 

0.01

%

 

13.98

 

3.00

%

 

3.64

%

 

116

 

234

 

0.9

%

 

1.2

%

 

 

(2

)

 

 

-

 

IO 30yr 4.0

 

 

73,719

 

 

13,339

 

0.25

%

 

18.09

 

4.00

%

 

4.60

%

 

121

 

230

 

5.8

%

 

6.3

%

 

 

(424

)

 

 

302

 

IO 30yr 4.5

 

 

3,218

 

 

620

 

0.01

%

 

19.26

 

4.50

%

 

4.99

%

 

171

 

176

 

8.6

%

 

7.8

%

 

 

(11

)

 

 

7

 

IO 30yr 5.0

 

 

1,733

 

 

354

 

0.01

%

 

20.45

 

5.00

%

 

5.37

%

 

171

 

177

 

1.1

%

 

4.4

%

 

 

(10

)

 

 

7

 

IO Total

 

 

88,774

 

 

15,382

 

0.28

%

 

17.33

 

4.01

%

 

4.60

%

 

126

 

214

 

6.1

%

 

6.6

%

 

 

(444

)

 

 

312

 

IIO 30yr 4.0

 

 

23,450

 

 

353

 

0.01

%

 

1.50

 

0.00

%

 

4.40

%

 

84

 

264

 

0.6

%

 

5.7

%

 

 

121

 

 

 

(99

)

Total Structured RMBS

 

 

112,224

 

 

15,735

 

0.29

%

 

14.02

 

3.17

%

 

4.55

%

 

117

 

225

 

4.9

%

 

6.4

%

 

 

(323

)

 

 

213

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Mortgage Assets

 

$

5,600,056

 

$

5,442,804

 

100.00

%

 

 

 

4.90

%

 

5.70

%

 

29

 

325

 

9.2

%

 

8.8

%

 

$

85,560

 

 

$

(96,327

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

Hedge

 

Modeled Interest

 

 

 

Notional

 

 

Period

 

Rate Sensitivity (1)

 

Hedge

 

Balance

 

 

End

 

(-50 BPS)

 

 

(+50 BPS)

 

3-Month SOFR Futures(2)

 

$

(455,900

)

 

Oct-25

 

$

(5,699

)

 

$

5,699

 

10-Year Treasury Future(3)

 

 

(12,500

)

 

Dec-24

 

 

(410

)

 

 

397

 

Swaps

 

 

(3,486,800

)

 

Jun-30

 

 

(91,274

)

 

 

88,057

 

TBA

 

 

(300,000

)

 

Oct-24

 

 

(8,387

)

 

 

8,827

 

Swaptions

 

 

-

 

 

Jan-00

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

Hedge Total

 

$

(4,255,200

)

 

 

 

$

(105,770

)

 

$

102,980

 

Rate Shock Grand Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

(20,210

)

 

$

6,653

 


(1)

Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.

(2)

Amounts for SOFR futures contracts represents the average quarterly notional amount.

(3)

Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $114.28 at September 30, 2024. The market value of the short position was $14.3 million.

 

 


RMBS Assets by Agency

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percentage

 

 

 

Fair

 

of

 

Asset Category

 

Value

 

Portfolio

 

As of September 30, 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fannie Mae

 

$

3,692,047

 

67.8

%

Freddie Mac

 

 

1,750,757

 

32.2

%

Total Mortgage Assets

 

$

5,442,804

 

100.0

%


Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test

 

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percentage

 

 

 

Fair

 

of

 

Asset Category

 

Value

 

Portfolio

 

As of September 30, 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-Whole Pool Assets

 

$

161,835

 

3.0

%

Whole Pool Assets

 

 

5,280,969

 

97.0

%

Total Mortgage Assets

 

$

5,442,804

 

100.0

%


Borrowings By Counterparty

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of

 

 

Average

 

 

Average

 

 

 

 

Total

 

Total

 

 

Repo

 

 

Maturity

 

Longest

As of September 30, 2024

 

Borrowings

 

Debt

 

 

Rate

 

 

in Days

 

Maturity

ABN AMRO Bank N.V.

 

$

381,192

 

7.3

%

 

5.37

%

 

15

 

10/15/2024

Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith

 

 

379,748

 

7.3

%

 

5.20

%

 

35

 

11/15/2024

ASL Capital Markets Inc.

 

 

346,397

 

6.6

%

 

5.35

%

 

31

 

11/15/2024

Cantor Fitzgerald & Co

 

 

289,468

 

5.5

%

 

5.30

%

 

11

 

10/18/2024

DV Securities, LLC Repo

 

 

274,284

 

5.2

%

 

5.24

%

 

19

 

10/28/2024

Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc

 

 

263,580

 

5.0

%

 

5.35

%

 

23

 

10/28/2024

J.P. Morgan Securities LLC

 

 

254,798

 

4.9

%

 

5.33

%

 

9

 

10/25/2024

Banco Santander SA

 

 

248,472

 

4.8

%

 

5.33

%

 

49

 

11/18/2024

Daiwa Securities America Inc.

 

 

247,191

 

4.7

%

 

5.04

%

 

28

 

11/19/2024

Citigroup Global Markets Inc

 

 

244,746

 

4.7

%

 

5.04

%

 

25

 

10/25/2024

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

 

 

241,641

 

4.6

%

 

5.29

%

 

16

 

10/16/2024

ING Financial Markets LLC

 

 

225,593

 

4.3

%

 

5.01

%

 

39

 

11/8/2024

Marex Capital Markets Inc.

 

 

223,192

 

4.3

%

 

5.00

%

 

21

 

10/21/2024

Goldman, Sachs & Co

 

 

208,485

 

4.0

%

 

5.32

%

 

16

 

10/16/2024

Bank of Montreal

 

 

204,522

 

3.9

%

 

5.31

%

 

15

 

10/15/2024

South Street Securities, LLC

 

 

194,516

 

3.7

%

 

5.20

%

 

19

 

10/24/2024

Clear Street LLC

 

 

193,535

 

3.7

%

 

5.21

%

 

48

 

11/20/2024

Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.

 

 

193,120

 

3.7

%

 

5.26

%

 

26

 

11/18/2024

StoneX Financial Inc.

 

 

159,098

 

3.0

%

 

5.03

%

 

21

 

10/21/2024

The Bank of Nova Scotia

 

 

149,958

 

2.9

%

 

5.29

%

 

15

 

10/15/2024

RBC Capital Markets, LLC

 

 

143,225

 

2.7

%

 

5.31

%

 

45

 

11/14/2024

Nomura Securities International, Inc.

 

 

75,278

 

1.4

%

 

5.31

%

 

15

 

10/15/2024

Lucid Prime Fund, LLC

 

 

48,322

 

0.9

%

 

5.29

%

 

17

 

10/17/2024

Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

 

 

23,004

 

0.4

%

 

5.06

%

 

25

 

10/25/2024

Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC

 

 

17,506

 

0.3

%

 

5.31

%

 

17

 

10/17/2024

Total Borrowings

 

$

5,230,871

 

100.0

%

 

5.24

%

 

25

 

11/20/2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact:

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400


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