Results: Legacy Housing Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

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Shareholders might have noticed that Legacy Housing Corporation (NASDAQ:LEGH) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.0% to US$25.90 in the past week. Legacy Housing missed revenue estimates by 7.8%, coming in atUS$44m, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.64 beat expectations, coming in 6.2% ahead of analyst estimates. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Legacy Housing after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Legacy Housing

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NasdaqGS:LEGH Earnings and Revenue Growth November 15th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Legacy Housing from three analysts is for revenues of US$189.8m in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 16% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 12% to US$2.51. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$198.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.59 in 2025. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the US$31.50 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Legacy Housing analyst has a price target of US$34.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$29.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Legacy Housing is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Legacy Housing's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 13% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 4.1% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.8% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Legacy Housing to grow faster than the wider industry.