Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN): How Strategic Partnerships Could Drive Future Growth?
We recently published a list of 10 Stocks That Could 10X Over the Next 5 Years. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) stands against other stocks that could 10x over the next 5 years.
Despite ongoing concerns related to the durability of growth and interest rate policy, Deloitte believes that the broader US economy is fundamentally strong. While real GDP growth witnessed some slowness in Q1 2024, growth rebounded to 3.0% in Q2 2024. All the available evidence demonstrates that policymakers have managed to bring inflation under control without a recession.
Market experts opine that the boom in factory construction is expected to boost the economy’s potential over the upcoming years. Deloitte expects that, in the short term, a faster pace of interest rate cuts by the US Fed is expected to allow households to take on more debt and support continued consumer spending growth. This, together with the elevated government consumption, will help the US economy to grow by 2.7% this year.
Pathway for Rate Cuts
S&P Global expects that the global policy rate easing cycle remains in full swing after the 50-bps cut by the US Fed in mid-September. The US has been outperforming as growth remains above potential, amidst relatively higher policy and market rates. This above-trend growth stems from services and private investment, new business formation, and productivity.
The firm believes that the US Fed is on a path to a steady series of interest-rate cuts, and the company is expecting policy rates to reach the terminal rate of 3.00%-3.25% by 2025 end, with risks in both directions. It has kept its probability of a recession starting in the upcoming 12 months unchanged at 25%. With healthy consumption, the company expects that fears of a recession in the near term are overblown.
Amidst Noise, What Are Investment Implications?
EY believes that the US economy is expected to slow into 2025, with restrictive monetary policy and elevated costs curbing the private sector activity. On the positive side, it expects that the recession risks are contained. Households are expected to spend more cautiously, with labor market conditions and income growth softening further. Also, still-elevated financing costs will continue to prompt the businesses to hire and deploy capital with discretion. Investors should know that lower inflation and interest rates, together with a balanced labor market, should result in cooler but more sustainable economic growth in 2025. EY expects real GDP growth to average ~2.7% in 2024.
Regarding consumer spending, Vanguard believes that healthy balance sheets, together with a steady labor market, should support consumer spending over the coming quarters, though at a more modest pace as compared to recent quarters.
As per Merrill (A Bank of America Company), for long-term investors, events such as worker strikes do not often warrant action. Concerning military conflict events, the company has continued to be constructive on Defense stocks for years considering the trend in geopolitical risk. It was highlighted that the pure-play S&P 500 Defense stocks were able to outperform S&P 500 Energy stocks on October 1. This was because of elevated tensions in Israel/Iran and spike in oil prices. Also, defense stocks outperformed when equity volatility increased in July.
Therefore, Merrill believes that defense stocks provide some non-cyclical diversification benefits that cannot be offered by energy. For interest rates, the risks of supply-side inflation warrant the Fed’s attention considering the potential for disinflation to slow or stop. Also, the geopolitical conflict can mean longer-term rates and borrowing rates for the private sector remaining higher for longer.
To put things in perspective, Wall Street analysts opine that, amidst uncertainties, long-term investors should be inclined towards diversification and fundamentally strong companies that offer strong potential for the next 3-5 years.
Our Methodology
To list the 10 Stocks That Could 10X Over the Next 5 Years, we conducted extensive research and sifted through several online rankings. After extracting the list of 20-25 stocks, we narrowed the list to the following 10 stocks, and ranked them in the ascending order of their hedge fund sentiments, as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A state-of-the-art electric vehicle charging at a station at a suburban mall.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 37
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories.
The company continues to focus on advancements in production and believes that strategic partnerships will act as primary tailwinds. The JV with Volkswagen should result in significant cost savings, operating efficiencies, and future revenues. Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) continues to focus on vertical integration and cost reductions through material and supplier cost savings. Moving forward, Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) should be aided by progression in gross profit with the help of improved variable cost, fixed cost leverage, and a rise in revenue per delivery unit.
The company’s product lineup consists of the R1T pickup truck, R1S SUV, and Electric Delivery Van (EDV). It continues to focus on expanding its offerings with the highly anticipated R2 platform, which will be launched in H1 2026. The R2 line should broaden Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN)’s customer base.
The R2 platform can act as a critical value driver, with industry veterans expecting a market size that can be potentially 7-10 times larger as compared to the R1 platform. Moreover, the expansion into more accessible price points might fuel demand. Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN)’s focus on software capabilities and continuous vehicle updates via scalable architecture is seen as a potential differentiator.
Analyst at Barclays upped its price target on the shares of Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) from $14.00 to $16.00, giving an “Equal-weight” rating on 16th July. Meridian Funds, managed by ArrowMark Partners, released its second quarter 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) is a US-based electric vehicle manufacturer focused on the design, development, and production of electric adventure vehicles, pickup trucks, and commercial delivery vans. We own Rivian because we believe the company is a future leader in the growing electric vehicle market with a strong brand, compelling products, and a vertically integrated business model. During the quarter, Rivian’s stock price was driven by its progress on cost reduction initiatives and management’s stated confidence in achieving positive gross margins by the end of 2024. The recent announcement of a joint venture with Volkswagen, involving up to $5 billion in investment, also significantly boosted Rivian’s financing outlook and validated its technology. We trimmed our position in Rivian given the strong performance in the quarter.”
Overall, RIVN ranks 4th on our list of stocks that could 10x over the next 5 years. While we acknowledge the potential of RIVN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than RIVN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.