Today we're going to take a look at the well-established RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:RAA). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the XTRA. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading around its 52-week high. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at RATIONAL’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for RATIONAL

What Is RATIONAL Worth?

According to our valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 23%, trading at €894 compared to our intrinsic value of €727.67. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that RATIONAL’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will RATIONAL generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 27% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for RATIONAL. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in RAA’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe RAA should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on RAA for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for RAA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.